{"id":6474,"date":"2025-04-10T15:29:50","date_gmt":"2025-04-10T13:29:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/probabilistic-simulation-in-design"},"modified":"2025-08-13T13:26:13","modified_gmt":"2025-08-13T11:26:13","slug":"probabilistic-simulation-in-design","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/probabilistic-simulation-in-design","title":{"rendered":"Probabilistic simulation in design"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p style=\"page-break-after: avoid;\">Manufacturing defects pose immense challenges for the production of aircraft structures made of carbon fibre reinforced plastic (CFRP). One characteristic type of defect, for example, is undesirable fibre waviness. They have a significant influence on the resulting material properties. Innovative approaches are therefore required in order to fulfil the high quality requirements of modern aviation. Approaches based on physical material tests are currently used for precise quantification, but these cannot adequately capture the complexity of fibre waviness due to a large number of real disturbing influences during production. A new probabilistic calculation approach should now enable more precise statements to be made about the load-bearing reserves of modern CFRP materials and thus support structural design as an important tool.     <\/p>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][vc_empty_space]<style type=\"text\/css\" data-type=\"the7_shortcodes-inline-css\">.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-b59e08ebce04eb09c1d9150ded50291e.enable-bg-rollover .rollover i,\n.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-b59e08ebce04eb09c1d9150ded50291e.enable-bg-rollover .rollover-video i {\n  background: -webkit-linear-gradient();\n  background: linear-gradient();\n}\n.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-b59e08ebce04eb09c1d9150ded50291e .rollover-icon {\n  font-size: 32px;\n  color: #ffffff;\n  min-width: 44px;\n  min-height: 44px;\n  line-height: 44px;\n  border-radius: 100px;\n  border-style: solid;\n  border-width: 0px;\n}\n.dt-icon-bg-on.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-b59e08ebce04eb09c1d9150ded50291e .rollover-icon {\n  background: rgba(255,255,255,0.3);\n  box-shadow: none;\n}\n<\/style><div class=\"shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-b59e08ebce04eb09c1d9150ded50291e alignnone caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off\" style=\"margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:1000px;\"><div class=\"shortcode-single-image\"><div class=\"fancy-media-wrap  layzr-bg\" style=\"\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"preload-me lazy-load aspect\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D&#39;http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg&#39;%20viewBox%3D&#39;0%200%201000%20555&#39;%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Berechnungskonzept-1000x555.png\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Berechnungskonzept-1000x555.png 1000w, https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Berechnungskonzept.png 1953w\" loading=\"eager\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" width=\"1000\" height=\"555\"  data-dt-location=\"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/probabilistische-simulation-im-entwurf\/berechnungskonzept\" style=\"--ratio: 1000 \/ 555;\" alt=\"Numerisches Berechnungskonzept zur Bewertung von Faserwelligkeiten\" \/><\/div><\/div><div class=\"shortcode-single-caption\">Numerisches Berechnungskonzept zur Bewertung von Faserwelligkeiten<\/div><\/div>[vc_empty_space][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<strong>Probabilistic modelling<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Computer-aided design methods are an essential building block in the development of efficient aerospace structures &#8211; especially with ever shorter development cycles. A purely experimental evaluation of random defects is no longer viable in its entirety, not least from an economic point of view. As part of two DLR projects, an FEM calculation method was developed that can map the effect on the resulting material properties using a non-deterministic calculation approach. The basis of the calculation method is a stochastic concept based on so-called random fields to describe the complex waviness geometry. Random fields combine the description of physical disturbance variables with a spatial parameterisation. This enables a general description of the CFRP layer geometry under the effect of waviness in a material section. For parameterisation, the selected section is first described using a discretised computational grid, whereby a function for modelling the stochastic dependency is assigned between the individual grid points. A subsequent step integrates the geometry into the FEM-based calculation model of the idealised material section. Using the deformations and stresses that can be determined for an undisturbed reference model and a model that takes the waviness into account, a scaling factor can be determined that quantifies the influence on selected material parameters. Embedded in the probabilistic defect description, this results in a distribution of the analysed material parameters. Extensive analyses impressively demonstrated the quality of the method described for various material configurations and selected material parameters.[\/vc_column_text][vc_empty_space]<style type=\"text\/css\" data-type=\"the7_shortcodes-inline-css\">.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-71c98b25c8c0029ba5681103cefa15b3.enable-bg-rollover .rollover i,\n.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-71c98b25c8c0029ba5681103cefa15b3.enable-bg-rollover .rollover-video i {\n  background: -webkit-linear-gradient();\n  background: linear-gradient();\n}\n.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-71c98b25c8c0029ba5681103cefa15b3 .rollover-icon {\n  font-size: 32px;\n  color: #ffffff;\n  min-width: 44px;\n  min-height: 44px;\n  line-height: 44px;\n  border-radius: 100px;\n  border-style: solid;\n  border-width: 0px;\n}\n.dt-icon-bg-on.shortcode-single-image-wrap.shortcode-single-image-71c98b25c8c0029ba5681103cefa15b3 .rollover-icon {\n  background: rgba(255,255,255,0.3);\n  box-shadow: none;\n}\n<\/style><div class=\"shortcode-single-image-wrap shortcode-single-image-71c98b25c8c0029ba5681103cefa15b3 alignnone caption-on  enable-bg-rollover dt-icon-bg-off\" style=\"margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-left:0px; margin-right:0px; width:1000px;\"><div class=\"shortcode-single-image\"><div class=\"fancy-media-wrap  layzr-bg\" style=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"preload-me lazy-load aspect\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D&#39;http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg&#39;%20viewBox%3D&#39;0%200%201000%20543&#39;%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Verteilung-1-1000x543.png\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Verteilung-1-1000x543.png 1000w, https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Verteilung-1.png 1672w\" loading=\"eager\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" width=\"1000\" height=\"543\"  data-dt-location=\"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/probabilistische-simulation-im-entwurf\/verteilung-2\" style=\"--ratio: 1000 \/ 543;\" alt=\"Statistische Verteilung des Skalierungsfaktor f\u00fcr die Druckfestigkeit auf Lagen- und Laminat-Ebene unter Welligkeitseinfluss\" \/><\/div><\/div><div class=\"shortcode-single-caption\">Statistische Verteilung des Skalierungsfaktor f\u00fcr die Druckfestigkeit auf Lagen- und Laminat-Ebene unter Welligkeitseinfluss<\/div><\/div>[vc_empty_space][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<strong>Next steps to increase the efficiency of the innovative approach<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Despite the detailed analysis capability, its use on an industrial scale is subject to many hurdles. To make the method easier to use, approaches were therefore investigated that simplify the numerical complexity using reduced geometry parameters (e.g. amplitude, gradient, curvature). Initial results have already demonstrated the potential of the approach. Regardless of the possible applications, the method currently still requires extensive computer infrastructures. A central focus of future work is therefore to increase the efficiency of the developed approach in order to minimise the overall computational effort and thus be able to apply the method effectively to new material configurations. Among other things, this could be achieved by combining different methods for deformation calculation &#8211; in addition to the FEM. Last but not least, possible validation approaches need to be developed in order to significantly increase the validity of the simulation-based results.[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;] Manufacturing defects pose immense challenges for the production of aircraft structures made of carbon fibre reinforced plastic (CFRP). One characteristic type of defect, for example, is undesirable fibre waviness. They have a significant influence on the resulting material properties. Innovative approaches are therefore required in order to fulfil the high quality requirements of&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":150,"featured_media":6278,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[228],"tags":[250,264,263],"coauthors":[324],"class_list":["post-6474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-artikel-en","tag-simulation-methods-en","tag-structure-en","tag-struktur-en","category-228","description-off"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6474","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/150"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6474"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6474\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6532,"href":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6474\/revisions\/6532"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6474"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leichtbau.dlr.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=6474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}